Inching towards AGI: How reasoning and deep research are expanding AI from statistical prediction to structured problem-solving
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Summary
From precariousness to AGI: will we be replaced by AI systems soon?
The AGI flame seems to be flickering, with comments from Dario Amodei, former VP of research at OpenAI and current CEO of Anthropic, who stated at a recent event that there is between 70% and 80% probability that we will have to face a large number of AI systems smarter than humans by the end of this decade, i.e. by 2026 or 2027.
However, others disagree and believe we are a long way from AGI with deep learning models that merely mimic intelligence rather than actually replicating human thinking.
In any case, the timing is perilous, as AI is advancing incredibly quickly and it is unclear what the outcome of these developments will be.
The emergence of powerful AI could lead to three possible scenarios: a controlled flame (utopia), an unstable fire (challenging), and a wildfire (dystopia).
The future of powerful AI and its impact on humanity is currently being written, and the trajectory of these developments will not solely be dictated by technology but by the choices we make around its deployment.