Summary

  • Chris Meyer contends that structured analytic techniques are useful in many scenarios and daily life and explains five techniques with examples from well-known movies to explain how they could be used in real-life scenarios to help diagnose or reframe situations, support decision-making, and anticipate future events, enhancing the decision-making process by helping to uncover assumptions, examining the decision from multiple perspectives, and identifying the evidence that would change one’s mind.
  • Meyer applies five structured analytic techniques to unrealistic movie scenarios to illustrate how they can be applied in real-life scenarios to enhance decision-making: the Key Assumptions Check, in which the assumptions on which a judgment is based are identified and challenged; Structured Self-Critique, in which the likelihood of a decision resulting in negative consequences is assessed; Devil’s Advocacy, in which a group’s consensus is challenged; Deception Detection, in which a statement believed to be true from a single source is examined; and Alternative Futures Analysis, in which the potential consequences of a decision are anticipated and multiple scenarios developed.

Original Article